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Saturday, 11 April 2026

Surulere Pushback: Resistance Mounts as Debate Over Desmond Elliot’s Fourth-Term Bid Deepens.

 

Surulere Pushback: Resistance Mounts as Debate Over Desmond Elliot’s Fourth-Term Bid Deepens.

Political tensions are rising in Surulere as a coalition of stakeholders and residents pushes back against what they perceive as an attempt to secure a fourth-term ticket for Desmond Elliot in the Lagos State House of Assembly.

The appeal, directed at Femi Gbajabiamila, reflects growing concern over candidate imposition and the future of internal democracy within the constituency. For many, this is no longer just about one individual—it is about preserving fairness, rotation, and the integrity of grassroots political participation.

The Core of the Resistance:

Stakeholders argue that extending Elliot’s tenure to a fourth term risks sending the wrong signal: that political access is reserved for a select few. In a constituency known for its diversity and political awareness, many residents believe leadership should be periodically refreshed to reflect evolving needs.

Their message is clear Surulere must not become a closed political circle.

Elliot’s Record: Achievements and Contributions: While criticism is growing, it is equally important to assess Elliot’s time in office with balance. Since his election in 2015, Elliot has built a profile that combines legislative duties with community-level interventions. Some of his notable contributions include:

Constituency Projects: Facilitation of road rehabilitation and community infrastructure improvements across parts of Surulere.

Youth and Skills Development: Training programs aimed at empowering young people with vocational and entrepreneurial skills.

Education Support: Distribution of educational materials and occasional scholarship initiatives for students.

Social Welfare Outreach: Periodic relief programs, especially during economic downturns and crises.

Legislative Participation: Active involvement in debates and bills within the Lagos State House of Assembly, contributing to policy discussions affecting Lagos residents. These efforts have earned him a base of loyal supporters who argue that continuity could help consolidate these gains.

Performance Assessment: How Does He Measure Up? Grading a public official is always subjective, but based on public perception, visible constituency engagement, and legislative presence, a balanced assessment might look like this:

Constituency Engagement: B+  Visible and consistent, though some argue outreach could be broader and more inclusive.

Infrastructure Impact:  B Moderate improvements, but not transformative at scale.

Youth Empowerment: B+ Strong focus here, though sustainability of programs remains a question.

Legislative Effectiveness: B  Active participation, but limited high-profile legislative breakthroughs.

Public Perception: Mixed reactions, shaped partly by controversies and political optics.Overall Grade is B (Above Average, but Not Exceptional)

The Bigger Question: Continuity vs Renewal: Even with a respectable performance record, the debate in Surulere goes beyond Elliot’s scorecard. It touches on a deeper democratic principle: Should performance alone justify prolonged tenure?

Critics argue that no matter how competent a representative may be, democracy thrives on competition and renewal. Supporters counter that experience and continuity are essential for sustained development.

The warning, directed at Femi Gbajabiamila, signals a growing unease within the constituency over what many see as a test of democratic values at the grassroots level. For a district long regarded as politically vibrant and vocal, the idea of extending a single lawmaker’s tenure beyond three terms is being framed not just as a political decision—but as a referendum on representation, fairness, and internal party democracy.

At the heart of the agitation is a familiar concern in Nigerian politics: the perceived imposition of candidates.

Critics argue that allowing Elliot to seek or secure a fourth term risks undermining the principle of rotation and equal opportunity within the party structure. Surulere, they insist, is not short of capable hands, and recycling leadership at the expense of fresh voices could stifle political growth and local engagement.

Many residents point to the need for inclusivity and renewal. In a constituency with a dynamic youth population and evolving socio-economic challenges, there is a growing demand for representatives who can bring new energy and ideas into governance. For these voices, the issue is less about Elliot’s individual performance and more about the broader message such a move would send that political longevity outweighs democratic competition.

This sentiment also reflects a deeper frustration with top-down political decisions. By appealing directly to Gbajabiamila, stakeholders are effectively calling for restraint from the center, urging national figures to allow local processes to prevail without undue influence. It is a subtle but significant pushback against centralized control, emphasizing that legitimacy must be earned at the ballot, not brokered behind closed doors.

Supporters of Elliot, however, may argue that experience and continuity matter. Having served multiple terms, he brings institutional knowledge and legislative familiarity that can be valuable in governance. Yet even this argument is being challenged by those who believe that no individual should become indispensable in a democratic system.

The unfolding situation in Surulere highlights a recurring dilemma in Nigerian politics: balancing continuity with change, and loyalty with fairness. As political maneuvering ahead of the next electoral cycle gathers pace, the constituency may well become a microcosm of a larger national debate—one that questions how candidates emerge, whose interests they serve, and how democracy is practiced beyond the headlines.

A Defining Moment for Surulere Politics: The unfolding situation presents a critical test not just for Elliot, but for the political system that governs candidate selection. By calling on Gbajabiamila to avoid interference, stakeholders are asserting their right to decide their political future without external pressure.

Ultimately, the message from Surulere is clear. Representation must not only be effective—it must also be seen as legitimate, inclusive, and reflective of the people’s will. Whether that message reshapes the political calculus remains to be seen, but it underscores an enduring truth: in a democracy, even the most established political figures must continually earn their place.

In the end, the question is not whether Desmond Elliot has performed, it is whether Surulere is ready to continue with him or turn the page. What happens next may well define not just one political career, but the strength of democratic culture in one of Lagos’ most prominent constituencies.

How Extra Refinery Capacity Could Have Boosted Nigeria’s Revenue during the Iran War and Why Tackling Corruption Is Essential

How Extra Refinery Capacity Could Have Boosted Nigeria’s Revenue during the Iran War and Why Tackling Corruption Is Essential


The ongoing conflict involving Iran and its ripple effects on global energy markets have highlighted one stark reality for Nigeria: a strong domestic refining sector isn’t just an economic luxury, it’s a strategic necessity.

Energy Price Shocks and Lost Revenue Opportunities

As global tensions disrupt oil supply chains, countries that rely on imported refined petroleum products face sharp price increases at the pump. In Nigeria, petrol prices have surged significantly, with reports of prices rising to around 1,300 per litre in parts of the country amid the energy crunch triggered by the Iran war and related global market instability.

Had Nigeria possessed additional operational refineries beyond the Dangote facility, the country could have:

a. Reduced dependence on imported petrol and diesel, insulating domestic consumers from volatile global prices.

b. Captured greater value within the oil value chain, keeping more revenue from crude oil sales and refining profits inside the Nigerian economy.

c. Boosted foreign exchange reserves by reducing imports of refined products, especially at a time when global prices are high.

For example, before its shut downs and dysfunction, the combined capacity of the three state-owned refineries in Port Harcourt, Warri, and Kaduna was intended to process hundreds of thousands of barrels per day. But decades of underperformance and repeated shutdowns have left Nigeria heavily dependent on imports despite its status as a major crude producer.

Revenue Potential of Strong  Refining Capacity: The value of robust refining infrastructure is enormous. The Dangote Refinery alone has projected revenues exceeding $55 billion annually and plans to expand its capacity further illustrating the revenue potential of well-managed refining assets.

If Nigeria’s other refineries were similarly functional or privately revitalized, the combined domestic refining output could generate substantial revenue, create jobs, and stabilize fuel prices—even in the face of international  disruptions like the Iran war.

Corruption: The Main Obstacle to Refinery Success

However, Nigeria’s refining sector has long been hampered by corruption and mismanagement.

Experts note that decades of spending over $25 billion on refinery turn around efforts have yielded  little result, largely due  to corrupt practices that turned refineries into “political cash cows” rather than productive assets.

Analysts describe how systemic corruption has allowed:

1.     Contract fraud and inflated maintenance costs

2. Patronage and nepotism in management appointments.

3. Sale of assets as scrap under dubious terms

4.   Revenue leakage through opaque deals and subsidies

These patterns mirror broader issues in Nigeria’s oil sector, where corruption is deeply entrenched across government and industry, costing the country billions in lost revenue.

How Nigeria Can Eliminate Corruption in Refining To unlock the full economic potential of extra refineries and strengthen energy security, Nigeria must tackle corruption head-on through reforms such as:

1. Privatization

Where privatization occurs, it embeds strict performance and anti-corruption clauses into agreements, with penalties for non-compliance and independent monitoring.

2. Transparent Governance and Oversight

Establish independent regulatory bodies with real authority to audit refinery operations, contracts, and spending reducing opportunities for back-door deals and inflated contracts.

3. Merit-Based Management

Replace political appointments with qualified professionals accountable to performance benchmarks rather than political loyalty.

4. Public Accountability and Data Transparency

Publish regular, detailed reports on refinery performance, expenditures, and revenue flows to empower civil society and media oversight.

5. Legal Enforcement and Anti-Corruption Prosecution

Aggressively pursue and prosecute corruption cases linked to refinery deals and revenue mismanagement, sending a clear message that impunity will no longer be tolerated.

6. A Strategic Imperative for Nigeria’s Future.

The Iran war’s impact on global energy markets underscores that Nigeria cannot afford to leave refining capacity idle while importing expensive fuel. Extra refineries could have cushioned the country from prices hocks, retained more revenue domestically, and strengthened economic resilience.

But without meaningful action to eliminate corruption, Nigeria risks repeating past mistakes letting valuable assets underperform and losing out on billions in potential revenue.

If the nation is serious about transforming its oil wealth into broad-based prosperity, reforming the refining sector must be a top priority.


Read more How the Iran War has Putin “Smiling to the Bank”—and why He May Quietly Wish It Never Ends